538 Presidential Forecast 2024. For 2024, 538 has built a new presidential election forecast model. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.


538 Presidential Forecast 2024

The 538 team discusses the likelihood of independent candidate robert f. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election.

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